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2011-05-12 10:50:28

China's shipbuilding industry is large but not strong, and independent innovation and establishing an integrated industrial chain are top priorities, an official told.
"Although China overtook South Korea and Japan to become the world's largest shipbuilder in terms of shipbuilding capacity, overtaking orders and new orders, the country's high value-added shipbuilding ability is far behind the two countries," Qian Xinnan, deputy director of the China Association of the National Shipbuilding Industry (CANSI), said.
China has been the world's largest shipbuilder since 2010.  
Statistics filed with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology show from January to December 2010, China's shipyards produced a total volume of 65.6 million deadweight tons, an increase of 54.6 percent from the previous year. And their newly received orders as of the end of last year exceeded 75.23 million deadweight tons, accounting for 54 percent of the world's total production volume.
"We must recognize the data is just about the volume of deadweight tons (a ship's carrying capacity with crew and supplies), not about their total value (the ships)," Qian said.
In the first quarter, South Korean shipbuilders signed new orders for 90 ships with a total worth of $12.8 billion. China received orders for 88 units with a total value of only $3.5 billion, according to the latest data from South Korea's Ministry of Economic Knowledge.
"China should complete its whole oceaneering chain, including the high-tech corollary equipment used on ships," Qian said.
"Some automated electronic devices on China-made ships, for instance, are still imported from overseas," he told。
After years of development with the advantage of low labor costs, China's shipbuilding industry entered a period requiring more initial investment and intensive management. So, a significant amount of money needs to be invested in R&D during the process, with less consideration for short-term returns, according to Qian.
Qian also encouraged domestic shipbuilders to look "positively" for outbound investment opportunities and study advanced technology, citing an acquisition case between Chery and Volvo as a successful example of a domestic manufacturing company going outside the country.
"So far, few Chinese shipbuilders have begun outbound expansion while South Korea, for instance, is cooperating with countries like Russia and Brazil," Qian said.
China's shipping industry will experience a structural readjustment during the 12th Five-Year Plan period (2011-2015), Qian said.

2011-05-12 10:45:24

Drillship newbuilding orders are expected to hit record-high this year.
To date in 2011, 17 drillships were inked worldwide, all at South Korean big 3 shipbuilders.
Samsung Heavy Industries booked seven, Hyundai Heavy Industries six and Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering four.
The figure is already nearing 19 orders recorded in the entire 2008.
Considering optional contracts and expectation that drillship orders would go on amid high oil prices, new record of drillship orders looks almost certain for 2011.
Industry pundits forecast drillship order binge to reach 30.
Samsung and Daewoo have four optional contracts each and Hyundai has three optional orders.
Hyundai is also expected to sign a LOI for two drillships with Norway's Odfjell Offshore.
Meanwhile, some claim that drillship order spree is nearing to an end as speculative orders related to Brazil's Petrobras are not expected to continue any further.

2011-05-12 10:02:42

TANKERS
CHARTERING
Crude
As  the  week  progressed  charterers  showed  increasing  interest  in  seeking VLCC  spot  coverage,  and  owners  seized  this  opportunity  to  try  to  drive rates upwards, but their efforts have so far been in vain. Given the increase in bunker prices, owners´ daily earnings have, in fact, been reduced. With a well-stocked MEG VLCC tonnage list, owners have little chance to secure rate improvements unless a particular charterer has some special requirement limiting choice. The Atlantic VLCC market remained steady with no change in current rate levels. With a modest amount of activity prevailing, Suezmax rates in WAF weakened, particularly at the beginning of the week. The Med/ Bsea Suezmax market also exhibited a softer trend, and we don´t expect to see  any  firming  in  this  market  until  activity  resumes  in  earnest.  For Aframaxes trading in the Med/Bsea rates continued to stagnate at breakeven levels  in  a  market  where  there  were  not  enough  cargoes  to  effect  any changes. In the Nsea and the Baltic Aframax rates are also making their way downwards, and with the ice season now at an end rates in this segment could soften even further. Even though there are still cargoes to be worked, the size of the tonnage list keeps charterers firmly in the driver´s seat.
Product
Further  pressure  has  been  put  on  the  freight  rates  in  the  West,  with  the going  rate  for  MR  vessels  now  hovering  around  ws220  for  UKC/USAC basis 37kt. The position list is fairly long, with many ballasters coming in from both WAFR and USAC. Larger tonnage is seeing hectic activity with many cargoes shipped down to WAFR. Rates are not moving though, with LR1s Baltic/USAC keeping steady at around ws140 basis 60kt. Handies trading across NWEurope are under continued pressure with many spot vsls, pushing  rates  down  to  ws185  basis  30kt.  Flexis  cross-Cont  are  stable  at ws210 basis 22kt. Activity is picking up in the Med and ex Black Sea, with rates around ws220 for cross-Med biz. Stateside rates keep slipping with Caribs upcoast fixing at ws175 basis 38kt, and backhaul voyages USG/UKC- Med slipping to ws110 level basis 38kt. The clean tanker market East of Suez  remains  stable  this  week.  For  LR1s  trading  MEG/JPN  fixtures  are being concluded at ws142.5 basis 55kt. On the LR2s, we have seen a flat market still fixing at WS 128 basis 75kt on the same route. We expect the market to remain at these levels in the near term. Rates for Jet fuel liftings MEG/UKC basis 65kt are now fixing at USD 2.05 million. MRs trading Spore/JPN are seeing rates around ws152.5 basis 30kt, whilst MRs trading MEG/JPN are seeing rates around ws162.5 basis 35kt.

 

DRY BULK
CHARTERING
Handy
Stable/flat with positive undertone in the Atlantic meaning more enquiry hitting  the  market  today.  Lack  of  prompt  vessels.  Trips  to  the  Far  East around usd 22-25k per day for Supras nevertheless a lot of actors are still assessing  the  market´s  direction.  The  Pacific  market  remains  quiet  with holiday in Korea and monsoon setting soon in India closing WCI iron ore activity. For Indo-India, Supras in North China are getting close to 13.5k. WCI-China rates slided to 15k and from ECI around 13k but few ships seen ballasting to Indonesia as not much cargoes ex-ECI. Red Sea, ferts on Handymax/Supras are fixed at very mid 20´s pmt on voyage basis to WC India. Large Supras for RBCT/India round now asking 15k. Not too much activity on short period as market bit volatile and speculative and hear index type vessels fixed at mid-teens.
Panamax
The increase in activity and rates especially in the Atlantic from mid last week  dropped  somewhat  as  from  beginning  this  week.  T/a  now  largely steady and owners more reasonable and willing to repeat last done. More coal in Atlantic was the main reason for the positive upswing with rates pending between 15-16k. For ESCA the grain is still main driver with levels between 25,000 -26,500 + bb 550-600k. As more and more spot Capes offering  in  on  Panamax  stems,  where  this  is  possible,  the  result  can influence negative on Panamax as well and predictions for coming weeks are more conservative. I the Far East rounds paying 14k and short period tic more.
Capesize
The week has been fairly quiet, with steady levels. Although freight levels slightly  down,  levels  are  flat  due  to  lower  bunker  prices.  Still  a  good number of ballasters and some vessels waiting outside Brazil, with lack of fronthaul cargoes for May dates. For West Australia to China, levels remain unchanged around usd 7.50 pmt, last done today usd 7.40 pmt by FMG. It seems people in general accepting the difficult and challenging state of the Cape market, and that the situation will remain for some time.

 

GAS
CHARTERING
It has been a reasonably eventful week in the VLGC market and more than anything else characterized by somewhat softer rates and a wait-and-see attitude. LPG prices have been rather jumpy lately - a reflection of crude movements - therefore there hasn´t really been any incentive to trade and charter  too  much  physically.  The  latest  fixtures  MEG/Far  East  were concluded around USD 47.00 pmt which equals to about USD 17,500 per day.  At  the  same  time  some  MEG/India  sub-fixtures  return  considerably higher numbers -  the West market is also talked higher than the current MEG/Far East rates. The Baltic VLGC index has been in red every single day since before Easter, latest posted around the USD 47 mark bss Ras Tanura/Chiba,  actually  the  lowest  number  since  the  beginning  of  March. There is no doubt there are more vessels than cargoes in the remainder of May which means only independent Owners´ can set the foot down and resist the downward freight movements as observed lately.

 

NEWBUILDING
GENERAL COMMENT
LNG is still in the hot seat, 5 LNG carries confirmed this week. All together 17 newbuildings reported, however, several of these are options or order swaps which have only recently been confirmed. Maran Gas swapped its existing VLCC order into LNG carriers at DSME, while Hong Kong based OOCL  declared  a  option  for  a  series  mega  sized  container  carriers  at Samsung. Although little activity on the tanker and bulker side, newbuilding prices seems to be moving slightly up due to steel price and the currency situation.

 

DEMOLITION

 

MARKET BRIEF

2011-05-12 09:37:14

Scrapping of older ships has picked up this year, but as is indicated by a lackluster dry bulk market, it’s still far from enough to help alleviate the oversupply issues that the market has been facing since late last year. Still, prices offered by scrapyards remain much higher than two years ago, when the ship demolition industry had grinded to a halt.
Looking at the past couple of weeks’ activity, although there were fears during the last days that the Bangladesh Enviromental Lawyers Association will show resistance against the recent lifting of vessels' ban for scrapping, hungry buyers in Chittagong continue their purchases. Shipbroker Golden Destiny reported that scrap prices in India remain firm at $500-$520/ldt for dry and $530-$540/ldt for wet tonnage, while Bangladesh levels are still not so competitive that the owners will risk sending their vessels for scrapping in Chittagong. China still tries to compete with its rivals at the low levels of $445/ldt for dry and $465/ldt for wet tonnage, while Pakistan is still on the sidelines paying less than India and Bangladesh and with no success for securing some more tonnage. Thus, India drives the market for one week more; as there is still uncertainty in Bangladesh and the temporary spike in levels do not yet offer comfort for the vessels’ beaching. The scrapping spree for capesize tonnage continues with two more large units heading to the scrap yards this week. The demo deal grasping the headlines of this week is for a VLOC “ALSTER N” 305,000dwt of 41,500 ldt fetching $510/ldt in Bangladesh. In general, bulk carriers seem to dominate the demolition scene due to sharp volatility of the freight market.
The previous week ended with 19 vessels reported to have been headed to the scrap yards of total deadweight 1,396,745 tons. In terms of the reported number of transactions, the demolition activity was almost the same however in terms of deadweight sent for scrap
there has been a 78% increase. In terms of scrap rates, the highest scrap rate has been achieved this week in the tanker sector by India for a tanker of 28,750dwt “WASEL” at 568/ldt. India this week attracted almost 58% of the total demolition activity. Comparing to a similar week in 2010, demolition activity has been decreased by 13.6%, when 22 vessels had been reported for scrap. China was leading the game by paying $400/ldt for dry and $425/ldt for wet cargo and Bangladesh was offering just $325/ldt for securing dry and $410/ldt for wet cargo.
During the week before, “on the demolition front, although permission for the beaching of the vessels has already been given the situation in Bangladesh is still vagueThere is still uncertainty regarding the start up of the breaking process. Some market sources suggest that the time lag from the time of beaching till the recycling process will be around 60 days. Furthermore, speculation surrounds the market that the Bangladesh Environmental Lawyer’s Association (BELA) could soon be heading back to court in order to re-challenge the recently issued order and there may be some form of closure after the conclusion of the next tide running from 4-7th May.
In terms of scrap prices, the opening on the Bangladesh has not still pushed prices at higher levels with India leading for the time being the market as both prices and number of transactions continues to head north. The price differential between levels offered from China and the weak rates in Bangladesh give one more advantage to Indian ship recyclers. Several vessels have been headed to the scrap yards of the Indian market before the traditional monsoon period begins in mid May and scrap prices begin their downward revision. It is worth mentioning that one more capesize of 127,825 dwt has been sent for scrap this week at
$485/ldt as is Gwangyang. Market rumours suggest that the vessel has been headed to Bangladesh but the final destination is not yet confirmed. During the year to date more than 20 capesizes have been reported for scrap, a record activity from 2010 levels. Bangladesh has been ranked in the third place behind China offering $485/ldt for dry and $515/ldt for wet cargo. On the other hand, Pakistan managed to win a tanker of 33,303/ldt and with the tightening of tanker regulations in Bangladesh we may see even more tanker scrapping business in Pakistan.
The week ended with 18 vessels reported to have been headed to the scrap yards of total deadweight 783,944 tons. In terms of reported number of transactions, the demolition activity has been marked with no change but there has been a 40% increase regarding the total deadweight sent for scrap. In terms of scrap rates, the highest scrap rate has been achieved this week in the tanker sector by India for a tanker of 12,637dwt “CASPER” at 1220/ldt incl 940tons of stainless steel. India along with Bangladesh has attracted 72% of the total demolition activity. At a similar week in 2010, 25 vessels were reported for scrap indicating a
negative yearly change 28%, in terms of the reported number of transactions, with most of the activity being centred in the tanker segment (44%), whereas demo countries were offering lower scrap rates than today’s levels, by $75/ldt less dry/general and $80/ldt for wet cargo” said the shipbroker’s report.

2011-05-11 10:30:31

Chinese shipbuilders completed 14.46 million dead weight tons of shipbuilding orders in the first quarter of this year, remaining almost unchanged to the same quarter of 2010, according to statistics released by China Association of National Shipbuilding Industry or CANSI.
Of the completed orders, 12.2 million DWT were for exports, accounting for 84.4% of the total.
As of Mar. 31, China saw total shipbuilding orders reach around 190.04 million DWT in hand, up 3.2% year on year. Of the orders, 165.14 million DWT were for exports, accounting for 86.9% of the total.
In the period from January to March, the country had 1,518 shipping companies above designated size, which saw the gross industrial output value increase 24.1% year on year to RMB 167.8 billion, including RMB 129.1 billion in shipbuilding, up 22.5% year on year.
China exports US$10.05 billion worth of ships, boats and floating structures in the first quarter of 2011, 5.21% more than in the same month of last year, according to General Administration of Customs.
Of the total export value, US$5.74 billion or 57.11% were the export value of dry bulk carriers.
In the first quarter, the country saw its import value of ships, boats and floating structures increase 32.85% year on year to US$498 million.
Reportedly, China canceled 21 shipbuilding orders, most of which were orders for dry bulk carrier building, totaling 1.08 million DWT in the first quarter of this year, dragged down by the sluggish shipping market and the shipping overcapacity of dry bulk carriers.  
Most of the shipbuilders also suffer cash shortage problems due to lower down payment for shipbuilding orders, said a person familiar with the matter as saying.
However, the Chinese shipbuilders has focused on the research and development, and manufacturing of LNG carriers.
The country's biggest shipbuilder China State Shipbuilding Corp or CSSC, the parent company of China State Shipbuilding Co Ltd, has started R&D on LNG carriers with maximum loading capacities up to 220,000 cubic meters.
China Rongsheng Heavy Industries Group Co Ltd, China's largest private-owned maritime equipment manufacturer, is also said to be developing drillships and LNG carriers.

2011-05-11 09:25:36

With Golden Week and National Holidays in both Japan and Korea this week, shipbuilding orders have taken a step back, as evidenced also by the fact that the only major newbuilding deal reported, involving Hellenic ship owners was the one where Med.
Maritime contracted three more 1,700 teu container ships.
According to the latest weekly report from Clarksons, the market has been a little subdued in terms of activity in the Far East. Nevertheless - there continue to be reports of new business being concluded, with the container sector continuing to dominate the bulk of new orders in accordance with the broad trend of the year.
“Whilst this interest in the container sector has been well received and assimilated by those yards with good Container experience - it has meant that shipyards have been forced to re-evaluate their existing position on Dry and Wet - and this has in turn lead to a more innovative drive to improve design concept and efficiency for both dry and wet sectors - in an attempt to re-invigorate interest in these sectors.
As a direct response, efficient ship designs have become an increasingly important factor in winning new business, especially in light of the continuing rise in bunker pricing and consequent operating costs. We continue to see the yards and design houses work to develop these new designs, in which improvements to Fuel consumption and efficiencies are being witnessed through new hull forms, utilising new engine types and many other innovations. As, or when, appetite returns to these sectors, it should be anticipated that the yards to have done the most in terms of developing these designs will be the ones best placed to benefit from any changes to the current demand cycle” said Clarksons.
In a similar report on the newbuilding market, Piraeus-based shipbroker Golden Destiny said that after almost three weeks of intense activity the ordering sentiment has cooled off in the bulk carrier segment with containers looming as the protagonists of the newbuilding scene. The week ended with 37 units reported on order, equalling to a total deadweight of around 3,2 mil tons, representing a 43% negative w-o-w change. The total invested capital of this week is more than $2,2 bn of dollars with containers grasping the 62% share of the total ordering activity. The offshore segment has been on the sidelines, while no ordering interest has been revealed for the gas carriers. However, market holds an optimistic view for further newbuilding business in the LNG or LPG segment.
In terms or reported business; In Containers, Hanjin Subic are reported to have won an order from Zodiac Maritime for 4 option 2 vessels of their 6,600TEU container design with the vessels scheduled to deliver within 2013 and 2014. Zodiac are also reported to have signed a deal at Daewoo Mangalia for 4 option 4 vessels of 9,000TEU in size with the firm vessels again due for delivery within 2013 and 2014. SITC have also been busy and have increased their order for 1,100TEU containerships at Yangfan, originally 8 vessels signed last year to a total order of 10 + 6 units due for deliveries throughout 2013 and 2014 at a price in the region of USD18.1 Mill pre vessel.
In Dry, KC Maritime are reported to have signed 2 option 2 x 82,000dwt Kamsarmax Bulk carriers at Daewoo Mangalia set to deliver in 2013. Yangfan meanwhile have won more business, this time with Hongxiang for 2+2+2+2 x 205,000dwt Capesize bulkers to deliver from End 2012 and through 2013.

2011-05-10 15:09:12

In the first quarter of 2011, the new orders totaled 227 vessels, the new low since the third quarter of 2009. According to the statistics of Clarkson, there were only 8 tankers of 667,000 dwt ordered in the first three months which was the lowest lever ever since 1996, while the orders for tankers hit 75 vessel of 13.8m dwt in last 3rd quarter.
Bulker carrier orders for the first quarter stood at 79 vessels of 6.6m dwt, dropping significantly compared with last second quarter (279 vessels, 31.5m dwt). However, the performance was much better than that of the second quarter of 2009 (31 vessels of 3.2m dwt).
ICAP Shipping pointed out shipyards continued ordering new vessels in the last year due to the low price. As the result, 2011 new orders were trapped by adequate orderbook and terrible shipping financing. Besides, newbuilding prices are very likely to keep current high level because of the increasing materials and labor costs.

2011-05-10 10:43:10

According to the statistics of China Association of National Shipbuilding Industry (CANSI), many bulk carrier orders were cancelled in the first quarter. Big shipyards are showing great interests in LNG carriers.
In the first quarter of 2011, China’s combined newbuiding output hit 14.46m dwt, basically the same with last year, while new orders and orderbook came up to 10.91m dwt and 190.04m dwt respectively. Shenyin & Wanguo Securities pointed out current Chinese new orders were continuing the restorative rise which has began since 2010. However, it is difficult to keep this increasing tendency.
The traditional products structure of domestic shipyards, which focuses on bulker carriers and tankers, is facing severe challenges under the double blow of bulker overcapacity and sluggish shipping market. In the first quarter, the cancelled orders came up to 21 vessels of 1.075m dwt nationally, which accounts for 0.57 of the total orderbook and mostly are bulker carriers.
In addition, shipyards are getting more tough financial problems. As some shipbrokers said that newbuilding bulker price has dropped by about 30% and the shipyowners’ payment ratio has gone down to 40% or even 20% from the original 70%-80% after the financial crisis. Many bulkers built in 2011 have entered secondhand market with parity or even lower prices.
LNG carrier orders has boomed recently in international market with Golar LNG ordering four 160,000 LNG carriers from Samsung and its compatriot Hyundai getting a big order of 6 LNG carriers. Besides, many big shipyards are considering or in negotiation for LNG newbuildings.
Domestically, CSIC has successfully carried out R&D on LNG carriers and is trying to market its independently designed LNG ship type internationally. The group has kept its leading position in LNG carrier sector in China. Rongsheng also has planned to enhance its research and development on drilling vessels and LNG carriers.

2011-05-10 09:51:04

About 30 percent of China's coastal shipping companies are suffering a loss due to overcapacity and high fuel price, Xu Zuyuan, vice minister of transport said.
According to Xu, some 40 percent of the country's inland shipping firms are also suffering a loss.
Data from the ministry shows China's cargo handling capacity from major ports was 2.08 billion tons in the first quarter, up 14.3 percent year-on-year. However, as oil and human labor are getting more expensive, shipping companies, especially those which are smaller in size, have suffered from shortened demand.
"We are at the edge of loss since exports decreased with yuan's appreciation," said Zhang Zuohai, general manager of China Container Line (Shanghai) Ltd.
According to Zhang, the company is losing its clients from Europe and the United States since some of them have turned to cheaper markets such as India and Vietnam.
Recently, China's shipping stocks have been in bad performance also.

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